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 RUSSIA IN FACTS
10 October 2003 11:00
Investment Attractiveness Rating of Russian Regions 2000 – 2001
The Expert RA ratings agency has completed its most recent annual survey of the Russian investment climate

·       Despite spectacular industrial growth, the long-expected “investment boom” has not occurred yet

·       The volume of investment is clearly inadequate for restructuring the economy and replacing completely depreciated equipment. This may mean that the economic potential of Russian regions will never be realized

·       The post-1998 period saw investment climate markedly to improve only in 13 regions and get worse in 31. Negative trends are typical of the traditional core economic regions – the Center, the Urals, and the Volga region

·       When investments are scarce, the investment climate of an area is more important. Foreign investors are especially sensitive even to minute alterations in rating

·       Regional election returns were convincing proof of a correlation between the stability of a regional authority, the region’s investment climate, and its trend

Investor preferences

Contrary to the prevailing opinion, the primary concern of investors is labor not natural resources

Rating figures

In recent years, investment climate was dominated by centripetal trends; there was considerable growth in numbers of “middling” entities characterized by low potential and moderate risk 

Components of investment risk

Lowering  regional risks is the  most realistic way to win over the investor

Climatic shifts

Investment climate has not gotten any warmer after a crisis. Growth points are still there, with no real improvement in them

Real-life investment activity

In 2000 once again, the expectation of a boom in foreign investment did not come true. However, investors were quick to respond to change in investment climate

Political aspects of investment climate

As they attract investors heads of administrations prolong their political life

Time is ripe for system-forming investments

From a speech of Iosif Ordzhonikidze, deputy mayor of Moscow and vice-president of the Moscow International Business Association, at the IV International Forum Moscow-Invest

Information and methods

Rating tables:

Table 1. Rating: Distribution of Russian regions by investment climate pattern in 2000-2001

Table 2. Investment risk in Russian regions 2000-2001

Table 3. Most dynamic regions in terms of change of their investment risk rating

Table 4. Least investment risk regions

Table 5. Political risk

Table 6. Social risk

Table 7. Economic risk

Table 8. Financial risk

Table 9. Criminal risk

Table 10. Environmental risk

Table 11. Investment potential of Russian regions 2000-2001

Table 12. Most dynamic Russian regions in terms of investment potential

Table 13. Highest investment potential regions

Table 14. Labor potential

Table 15. Consumption potential

Table 16. Production potential

Table 17. Infrastructure potential

Table 18. Financial potential

Table 19. Innovation potential

Table 20. Institutional potential

Table 21. Natural resources potential

Table 22. Change in regional investment climate by federal district, 1997/1998-2000/2001

Table 23. 20 top regions in terms of direct foreign investment

Table 24. 20 top regions in terms of capital investment

Table 25. 20 top regions in terms of capital investment dynamics (in comparable prices)

Table 26. Investment climate and regional leaders’ political success

Maps:

Map 1. Investment risk and potential of Russian regions 2000-2001

Map 2. Change in potential and risk values during 1997/1998-2000/2001

Charts:

Chart 1. Expert weights of potential and risk factors

Chart 2. Rating of the investment climate of Russian regions 2000-2001

Chart 3. Distribution of Russian regions by investment potential and risk

Chart 4. Change in regions’ investment climate 1997/1998-2000/2001

Chart 5. Climatic shifts in Russian regions 1997-2001

Chart 6. Change of the investment climate of federal districts 1997/1998-2001/2001

Chart 7. Per capita investment in regions 1996-2000

Chart 8. Distribution of per capita investment by type of region 1996-2000

Chart 9. Relationship of investment, risk, and potential in Russian regions


[Expert RA]
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