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A Russian revolution in rouge: COSMETICS: A boom in direct selling of make-up products is empowering hundreds of thousands of women, reports Christopher Brown-Humes:
It is just after 9amon Monday and several hundred Russian women are queueing outside the Moscow headquarters of Oriflame, the Swedish cosmetics group. Inside the building a few hundred more snake round a large room on the second floor and down the stairs, many of them clutching order forms and catalogues. They are placing and collecting orders but numbers are bigger than usual today because Oriflame has just started a new promotion. In one corner, a group of women is testing the company's latest lipsticks and face powders that in a few hours' time they will be delivering to their friends, family and work colleagues. This is the face of cosmetics selling in modern Russia. About 500,000 people - 90 per cent of them women - have sold Oriflame's products in Russia in the past three months, more people than belong to the Communist party. Avon, the US company that is Oriflame's biggest rival, had 330,000 sellers at the end of last year after adding 110,000 during 2003. For both companies Russia has been a compelling growth story in the past five years, as have many eastern European and former Soviet states. Russia is by far Oriflame's largest market, accounting for about a quarter of the group's sales of Euros 652m (Pounds 439m) last year, and is also its most profitable. It is a growth story the company is keen to share with outside investors: its shares are expected to be listed on the Stockholm Stock Exchange next week. The success of western cosmetics companies in Russia says much about the country's transition from communism to a quasi-market economy and the emergence of a middle class that is slowly gaining the wherewithal for life's luxuries as well as its necessities. The Dollars 5.4bn market is led by international groups such as L'Oreal, Procter & Gamble and Beiersdorf, according to data from Euromonitor in London, but the direct sellers are growing fast. Their share of the cosmetics and toiletries market has climbed from 4.7 per cent in 1998 to 12.3 per cent in 2002 and 14.2 per cent last year. "The market has developed far faster than anyone would have anticipated in terms of consumer confidence and spending," says John Higson, Avon's vice-president for central and eastern Europe. Partly that is because of Russia's strong gross domestic product growth at a time of higher oil prices. But disposable incomes have been growing faster than GDP and while Russians still find it hard to afford big-ticket items such as household appliances and cars, smaller purchases such as cosmetics are increasingly within their reach. The desire by Russian women to look their best appears to be as deep as if not deeper than in other countries. Robert af Jochnick, one of Oriflame's founders, says: "There are two products in Russia. One is vodka for the men, the other is lipstick for the women." While satisfying this basic craving, companies such as Oriflame and Avon have provided Russian women with a business opportunity they would not have had in Soviet times. Many already have another job, or are bringing up a family. Selling cosmetics offers flexible hours and a chance to see friends and, above all, gives them more control over their lives. And they need to invest little to get started. Average salaries in Russia are only about Dollars 250 a month, with about a third of the population of 145m living below the poverty line. Many people in good jobs are badly paid and need extra income to survive. No wonder so many teachers, doctors and academics opt to sell cosmetics as a sideline. And they seem to be effective. "Teachers and doctors have high credibility - people are used to listening to them," says Magnus Brannstrom, the Arnold Schwarzenegger lookalike in charge of Oriflame's Commonwealth of Independent States and Asian operations. The market is already developing. Although colour cosmetics remain the big sellers - items such as mascara, lipstick, face powders and nail varnish - more sophisticated products such as perfume and skincare are becoming popular as disposable incomes grow. "At Avon, the skincare market is as big as the colour market," says Mr Higson. The business model works as follows. What Oriflame sells for a notional 100 roubles, its consultants can sell for 130 roubles - the price their customers see listed in a catalogue. Most are selling to their families, friends and work colleagues, although cold calling is becoming increasingly common. There is an opportunity to earn large sums because when you recruit others, you get a small percentage of their sales too, and even of the sales that their recruits sign up. Some people build up networks of thousands of people right across Russia and earn salaries of thousands of dollars a month. Nikolai Perminov, a 29-year-old Muscovite who is already one of Oriflame's top sellers, says: "Whenever I see someone who I think could do with some extra money, whether I am out buying petrol or in a shop, I give them an Oriflame catalogue or my business card." When he was in McDonald's recently he handed 17-year-old Lena Dobran his card while she was cleaning the floor. She called him the next day. She has been selling Oriflame products for only a few weeks but has already handed in her notice at McDonald's. "I can earn 500 to 600 roubles an hour selling Oriflame products, but I only earn 55 roubles an hour at McDonald's," she says. The danger is that the model is considered a rather disreputable pyramid scheme. "It's not a pyramid scheme," Mr Brannstrom insists. "Everyone has their own individual relationship with Oriflame." Avon takes a different approach. It puts managers in charge of specific geographic areas. This enables it to maintain tighter control over its network, it says. Both Oriflame and Avon let their consultants buy on credit, which may seem risky in a country where it is hard to enforce debt collection through the courts. But the amount available is small and a new credit line is given only once an existing one has been repaid. Oriflame reports that doubtful debts in the CIS region - it does not consider Russia separately - are just 0.3 per cent of sales, than in most of its other markets. Avon and Oriflame went into Russia after the collapse of communism in the early 1990s and they stuck with the market after the currency crisis of August 1998. Today they are reaping the advantage of being first movers and of having well-known brand names. They have also built huge networks of distribution centres and warehouses. Oriflame's branch network stretches from St Petersburg in the west across 11 time zones to Khabarovsk in the far east of the country. But they are starting to see a much stronger challenge from local producers, companies such as Kalina, Nevskaya Kosmetika, Faberlic (a direct selling specialist) and Svoboda. The 1998 currency crisis gave these groups a significant cost advantage because all their production was in roubles. "It priced imported goods out of the market and gave the locals a big chance," says Camilla Butler, Euromonitor's senior research analyst for eastern Europe. The quality of Russian cosmetics is also improving. Ms Butler is not convinced that there is any strong brand loyalty to western companies: "Russian consumers are quite patriotic and there is a general belief that Russian cosmetics are more natural," she says. Both Oriflame and Avon are building production facilities outside Moscow, which should improve their cost competitiveness against local manufacturers. The structure of the market is also changing. "You can buy more and more cosmetic-related products in pharmacies and supermarkets. We are having a tougher time in Moscow than the rest of the country," says Johan Rosenberg, general director of Oriflame's Russian operations. Outside the Russian capital, however, the retail infrastructure is much less well developed. That should provide good growth opportunities for direct selling companies for some time. Noting that Avon's Russian sales grew last year by Dollars 99m to Dollars 240m, Mr Higson says: "We would hope to add the same kind of dollars to our sales this year as last year. And we have said we will get to Dollars 500m in Russia by 2007." He is not worried about the internet taking over as a sales channel. "People like to try out cosmetics. And while you may be able to order on the internet, you still need combined deliveries to make the economics work." The main threat to progress in Russia remains an unexpected political or economic development: a new currency crisis, perhaps, or a jolt caused by the country's over-dependence on high oil prices. One thing is certain - few western companies have had a bigger impact on women in eastern Europe than Avon and Oriflame. Mr Brannstrom notes with pride that he has been awarded a medal by the Women's Association of Mongolia for the opportunities that Oriflame has given to the country's budding female entrepreneurs.
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