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 Interview and opinion
Igor Shuvalov, the President`s deputy chief of staff
Finance Minister Aleksey Kudrin
Evgeni Yasin, Academic Director of the Higher School of Economics
10 December 2003 23:09
Rail Freight Rate Hike For Cement, Steel, Iron Ore Likely
The Railways may go in for a marginal increase in freight rates for steel, iron ore and cement in the forthcoming budget. These commodities are already rated high on the freight base followed by the Railways. Both steel and cement industry have in the past complained of high freight rates but railway officials feel that a marginal increase will not make any difference to these sectors. Senior officials said the boom in steel sector, which has led to high movement of iron ore for domestic and foreign markets, was likely to continue for the next few years. "We believe that a hike in freight rates of iron ore and steel can be easily absorbed by the industry since their profit margins have increased manifold," said an official. In the case of cement, it is a highly sensitive commodity as far as freight rates are concerned. Cement companies are quick to take to road in case of railway freight rates being marginally higher than road. With freight rates for cement reduced last year and the market showing signs of recovery, officials feel a hike in freight rate for cement will not be counterproductive. "The hike can be reversed later if it is found to be heavy," said an official. Sources said the hike in freight rates of these commodities is only at a proposal stage at this point. On the scale of 100 where the railways break even, steel and iron are classified 180, pig iron 160 and cement 135. The classification for all these commodities was reduced in the last budget which effectively led to a 5.3 per cent reduction in freight for steel. The Railways is unable to meet the earnings target for freight in the current year despite carrying more volumes due to reduction in classification of some commodities. This has made the Railways think in terms of putting the three commodities into a higher category for the next year. Steel demand is rising on accelerated infrastructure activity both within the country and outside - in China, United States and Europe. China is the biggest importer of iron ore from India. "It is preparing for Olympics in 2008 and therefore construction activity in China is likely to continue," said an official. In US, the demand is led by the booming housing industry. Additionally the auto industry is showing signs of recovery. In Europe, there is demand from a buoyant housing and white goods industry. Russia and other CIS nations are also witnessing strong internal demand while reconstruction work in Iraq is expected to fuel steel demand further.
[AIW [Asia Africa Intelligence Wire]]
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